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  Home > Trade and Commerce > An overview > Supply and demand of power
   
 
The widening hiatus between demand and supply of power

Click here for a larger imageIndia is perennially short of electric power. It is indeed disheartening that in spite of striving to increase power generation, the gap between the demand and supply in the power sector is increasing with each passing day with shortages up to 30 per cent and more in the most power-deprived states. A study conducted by the Associated Chambers of Commerce and Industry of India (Assocham) points out that the major impact of power shortage last year was felt by industry in Maharashtra and Gujarat, with a deficit of 11.6 percent and 8.5 percent, respectively. In Uttar Pradesh, power shortage was 13.3 percent, Karnataka 10 percent, Tamil Nadu 8.1 percent and Andhra Pradesh 7.7 percent.

The southern region also continued to reel under severe power shortage, with Tamil Nadu facing a deficit of 2,268 million units, Andhra Pradesh 2,380 million units, Karnataka 1,880 million units and Kerala 636 million units. According to the study ever-widening gap in the availability of power is expected to further affect industrial production this year.

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Supply and demand

The generating capacity in 1997 was 76,700 MW which, it was estimated, would have to be doubled in the next 10-15 years, requiring an addition of some 7,000 MW of new capacity per annum. This calls for an investment of some US$30 billion over the next 10 years. There is no way the Indian government can carry out this enormous and expensive work on its own, which is why foreign and domestic players are now allowed into the power industry. However, privatisation calls for dramatic change in the state of affair of the power sector. With the aim of attracting private investment the government has brought about a lot of changes in its policies in order to make the power sector lucrative for investment. But unfortunately studies show that most of these changes are restricted to theory only. In reality, the whole sector is plagued by a lot of red tapism.

Despite the past six years of economic reform, supplies and sales of all petroleum products in India, till today, remain almost wholly controlled by the central government.

Click here for a larger imageAs a result private sector power developers in India have had to wait for almost a year for approvals from the central government for fuel supplies. According to the Assocham study "the inordinate delay in the commissioning of power projects on schedule will further depress industrial production in 2001, with industrially-advanced states of Maharashtra, Gujarat, Karnataka, Tamil Nadu and Andhra Pradesh bearing the brunt of the shortage." Given the gaping disparity between demand and supply, the Indian power sector is being chased by the world's most prominent independent power project developers, generation equipment suppliers and project financiers from all over the world. The largest participation has come from the United States. It is therefore very important that the government really works towards retaining the interest of the investors by speeding up the process of implementation and execution.

Some reasons of low supply of power
Coal is the most important fuel for India 's power sector. It is the source of more than 70 per cent of generating capacity. But, coal shortages, delays in coal transportation and the low thermal
quality of coal supplies cause disruptions in power generation and result in lower plant load factors.

Transmission and distribution losses in India are high, in the range of 20-23 percent. State Electricity Boards (SEBs) generate and distribute power, set tariffs and collect revenues. However, they suffer from chronic financial problems because of rising generating costs accompanied by eroding revenues due to pilferage, bad debts and supply of power at subsidised rates for the agricultural sector. They continue to operate without a clear guideline on how to price power. Every year the government loses billions on power subsidies to agriculture.

Steps taken to increase the supply
1. In order to bridge the gap between demand and supply of power, a government policy was initiated in 1991, with the aim of encouraging private sector participation. The policy enables the private developers to set up power projects of any capacity and of any type. The policy also allows liberal capital structuring and an attractive return on investment.
2. Since thermal power plants are the major contributors in the power sector, and coal reserves in India are concentrated only in certain parts of the country, a policy has been adopted to facilitate the setting up of large-sized power plants located at pitheads in the country. This has been done with the aim of deriving the benefits of economies of scale.
3. There are plans of improving the supply of power by exploiting the existing capacities to the maximum, adding new capacities, reducing the distribution loses, bringing about structural reforms of the power problems facing the country.
4. It is also seen that administrative clearance for implementation of projects is given easily so that short gestation power projects are completed without hindrance. This would attract more and more private investors.
5. Measures are taken to minimize transmission losses and facilitate inter-regional transfer of power by establishing the necessary transmission network.
6. Projects are being taken up for exploiting the country's hydro potential, including small and mini hydroelectric projects, so that an additional capacity of 100,000 megawatts can be achieved in the next five years.
7. There are also plans of making more use of other renewable resources like wind and solar energy.

Picture Courtesy: Swagat, August 2001

- Shravanti Choudhuri

 

 

   
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